John Rolph

Professor Emeritus of Data Sciences and Operations

PhD, AB, UC-Berkeley

John Rolph applies statistical methods to public policy issues such as juror systems, medical malpractice, and criminal justice. His research has appeared in the Journal of the American Medical Association, Management Science, and the Journal of the American Statistical Association. Past editor of CHANCE, he is a fellow of the American Statistical Association, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and has chaired National Academy panels on the National Ballistics Database and National Statistics. Professor Rolph has consulted for General Electric, Kaiser Health Plans, and State Farm Insurance.

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J. Newhouse, R. Brook, N. Duan, E. Keeler, A. Leibowitz, W. Manning, M. Marquis, C. Morris, C. Phelps, John Rolph () "Attrition in the RAND Health Insurance Experiment: A Response to Nyman ,"  Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law  33.
D. Cork, John Rolph, G. Meiren, C. Petrie () "Ballistics Imaging ,"  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "Discussion of "Data Analysis using Stein's Estimator and its generalizations" ,"  Seventieth Birthday Festschrift for B. Efron  Springer-Verlag.
J. Norwood, C. Carson, M. Deese, N. Johnson, F. Reeder, John Rolph () "Off-shoring: New challenges and Opportunities In an Expanding Global Economy ,"  National Academy of Public Administration.
John Rolph, J. Adams, K. McGuigan () "Identifying Malpractice-prone Physicians ,"  Journal of Empirical Legal Studies.
J. Norwood, C Carson, M. Deese, N. Johnson, F. Reeder, John Rolph () "Technical Supplement to Off-shoring: How Big Is It?—Assessing the Employment Effects of Services Off-Shoring Using Linked Micro-Data Janet Norwood ,"  National Academy of Public Administration.
J. Norwood, C Carson, M. Deese, N. Johnson, F. Reeder, John Rolph () "Off-shoring: What are its Effects?, ,"  National Academy of Public Administration.
J. Norwood, C Carson, M. Deese, N. Johnson, F. Reeder, John Rolph () "Off-shoring: How Big Is It? ,"  National Academy of Public Administration.
J. Norwood, C Carson, M. Deese, N. Johnson, F. Reeder, John Rolph, S. Schwab () "Off-shoring: An Elusive Phenomenon ,"  National Academy of Public Administration.
John Rolph () "Analyzing Information on Women-Owned Small Businesses in Federal Contracting ,"  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "Improved Operational Testing and Evaluation and Methods of Combining Test Information for the Stryker Family of Vehicles and Related Army Systems. Phase II Report ,"  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "Measuring Racial Discrimination ,"  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "Improved Operational Testing and Evaluation: Better Measurement and Test Design for the Interim Brigade Combat Team with Stryker Vehicles, Phase I Report ,"  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "Innovations in Software Engineering for Defense Systems ,"  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "Review of "Counting on the Census?" by Peter Skerry ,"  Journal of the American Statistical Association.
C.F. Citro, John Rolph () "Sound Numbers Make for Sound Government ,"  Chattanooga Times/ Chattanooga Free Press.
John Rolph () "The American Community Survey: Summary of a Workshop ,"  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "Principles and Practices for a Federal Statistical Agency: Second Edition ,"  National Academy Press.
John Rolph, K. McGuigan () "Are Impaired Physicians More Susceptible to Medical Malpractice Claims? ,"  Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand  Springer-Verlag, 6.
S. Morton, John Rolph () "Assessing the Statistical Evidence of Racial Bias in Capital Cases ,"  Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand  Springer-Verlag, 5.
N. Thomas, John Rolph () "Estimating Hospital Mortality Rates ,"  Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand  Springer-Verlag, 8.
John Rolph () "Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand ,"  Springer-Verlag.
K. McGuigan, John Rolph () "“Malpractice and the Impaired Physician: an Application of Matching ,"  Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand  Springer-Verlag, 6.
M, John Rolph, D. () "Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition: Background Papers ,"  National Academy Press.
J. Guthrie, W. Morrill, John Rolph () "Mid-Term Evaluation of the Education Statistical Services Institute ,"  Mid-Term Evaluation of the Education Statistical Services Institute.
M, John Rolph, D. () "Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition: New Approaches and Methodological Improvements ,"  National Academy Press.
R. Kravitz, John Rolph, L. Petersen () "Assessing Defensive Medicine from Malpractice Claims ,"  Medical Care Research and Review.
P. Glassman, R. Kravitz, John Rolph, L. Petersen () "Differences in Clinical Decision Making between Internists and Cardiologists ,"  Archives of Internal Medicine  157, 506-512.
E. Rolph, E. Moller, John Rolph () "Arbitration Agreements in Health Care: Myths and Reality ,"  Law and Contemporary Problems  1, 153-184.
P. Glassman, R. Kravitz, John Rolph, L. Petersen () "Physicians' Personal Malpractice Experiences are not Related to Defensive Clinical Practices ,"  Journal of Health, Politics, and Law  21.
John Rolph () "Why Did Casino Blackjack Winnings Drop? ,"  Statistics, Probability and Game Theory  30.
M, John Rolph, D. () "Interim Report: Panel on Statistical Methods for Testing and Evaluating Defense Systems ,"  National Academy Press.
T. Belin, John Rolph () "Can We Reach Consensus on Census Adjustment ,"  Statistical Science.
John Rolph () "Review of "Statistics: Data Through Decisions (Video)" ,"  CHANCE .
N. Thomas, N. Longford, John Rolph () "Empirical Bayes Methods for Estimating Hospital Specific Mortality Rates ,"  Statistics in Medicine.
John Rolph, D. () "Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop ,"  Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "The Census Adjustment Trial: Reflections of a Witness for the Plaintiffs ,"  Jurimetrics  34, 85-98.
John Rolph () "Discussion of: Bayes Analysis of Model-Based Methods for Non-ignorable Nonresponse in the Harvard Medical Practice Survey ,"  Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics  Springer-Verlag.
John Rolph, D. Pekelney, K. McGuigan () "Amending the National Data Bank Reporting Requirements: Are Small Claims Predictive of Large Claims? ,"  Inquiry, 441-446.
John Rolph () "Assessing Evaluation Studies: The Case of Bilingual Education Strategies ,"  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "Review of "On Combining Information: Statistical Issues and Opportunities for Research" ,"  CHANCE .
R. Kravitz, John Rolph, J. Rolph, K. McGuigan () "Malpractice Claims Data As A Quality Improvement Tool: I. Epidemiology of Error in 4 Specialties ,"  JAMA, 2087-2097.
John Rolph, R. Kravitz, K. McGuigan () "Malpractice Claims Data As a Quality Improvement Tool: II. Is Targeting Effective? ,"  JAMA, 2087-2092.
S. Klein, John Rolph () "Relationship of Offender and Victim Race to Death Penalty Sentence in California ,"  Jurimetrics.
J. Buchanan, E. Keeler, John Rolph, M. Holmer () "Simulating Health Expenditures under Alternative Insurance Plans ,"  Management Science.
John Rolph () "Merit Rating for Physicians' Malpractice Premiums: Only a Modest Deterrent ,"  Law and Contemporary Problems, 65-86.
John Rolph () "Casino Winnings at Blackjack ,"  Proceedings of the Business and Economics Statistics Section, American Statistical Association.
E.B. Keeler, John Rolph () "The Demand for Episodes of Treatment in the Health Insurance Experiment ,"  Journal of Health Economics.
J. Pincus, John Rolph () "How Much is Enough: Applying Regression to a School Finance Case ,"  Statistics in the Law  Wiley.
J. Hammitt, John Rolph () "Limiting Liability for Automobile Accidents: Are No-Fault Tort Thresholds Effective? ,"  Law and Policy, 493-507.
John Rolph () "Discussion of Papers by Hogan et al. and Clogg et al. ,"  Proceedings of Second Annual Census Research Conference.
S. J., John Rolph () "Empirical Bayes Estimation of the Mean in a Multivariate Normal Distribution ,"  Communications in Statistics.
John Rolph, J. Hammitt, R. Houchens () "Automobile Accident Compensation: Who Pays How Much How Soon? ,"  Journal of Risk and Insurance, 667-685.
John Rolph () "Comment on Estimating the Population in the Census 1980 and Beyond by E. Ericksen and J. Kadane ,"  Journal of the American Statistical Association.
John Rolph () "The Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 1990 ,"  The Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 1990  National Academy Press.
John Rolph () "Planning the 1990 Census: Priorities for Research and Testing ,"  The Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 1990  National Academy Press.
R. Bannister, M. Moreno, John Rolph () "Restructuring the Jury Allocation Process for the Los Angeles County Jury Management Systems ,"  Proceedings of the Urban and Regional Information Systems Association.
E. Keeler, John Rolph () "How Cost Sharing Reduced Medical Spending of the Participants in the Health Insurance Experiment ,"  Journal of the American Medical Association.
John Rolph () "Some Statistical Evidence on Merit Rating in Medical Malpractice Insurance ,"  Journal of Risk and Insurance.
C. Morris, John Rolph () "Introduction to Data Analysis and Statistical Inference ,"  Prentice Hall.
John Rolph () "Statistical Notes ,"  Californa Wine List Cabernets  Cheshire Booksellers, Ltd..
J. Chaiken, John Rolph () "Selective Incapacitation Strategies Based on Estimated Crime Rates ,"  Operations Research.
J. Newhouse, John Rolph, B. Mori, M. Murphy () "An Estimate of the Impact of Deductibles on the Demand for Medical Care Services ,"  Journal of the American Statistical Association.
G. Carter, John Rolph () "Analyzing the Demand for Fire Department Services ,"  Fire Department Deployment Analysis.
John Rolph, A. Williams, C. Lee () "Medical School Admission and Applicants Residence: Empirical Bayes Estimates of Logit Coefficients ,"  Journal of Educational Statistics.
R. Brook, K. Williams, John Rolph () "The New Mexico Experimental Medical Care Review Organization--A Four Year Case Study ,"  Medical Care.
R. Brook, K. Williams, John Rolph () "Use, Costs, and Quality of Medical Services ,"  Annals of Internal Medicine.
John Rolph, A. Williams, C. Lee () "The Effect of State of Residence on Medical School Admissions: Empirical Bayes and Least-Squares Discriminant Estimators ,"  Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, 89-98.
E. Keeler, D. Relles, John Rolph () "An Empirical Study of the Differences Between Family and Individual Deductibles in Health Insurance ,"  Financing of Health Care.
E. Keeler, D. Relles, John Rolph () "The Choice Between Family and Individual Deductible Policies in Health Insurance ,"  Journal of Economic Theory.
John Rolph () "Review of "Management Science Applications to Leisure-Time Operations," S. P. Ladany, ed ,"  Journal of the American Statistical Association.
John Rolph () "Choosing Shrinkage Estimators for Regression Problems ,"  Communications in Statistics.
John Rolph, G. Carter () "Empirical Bayes Methods Applied to Estimating Fire Alarm Probabilities ,"  Journal of the American Statistical Association  69, 880-885.
John Rolph, S. Carroll () "A Stochastic Model of Discrimination in the Labor Market ,"  Econometrica  41, 97-108.
John Rolph, B. Fox () "Adaptive Policies for Markov Renewal Programs ,"  Annals of Statistics  1.
John Rolph () "Review of ""Dynamic Probabilistic Systems," Vol. 1, "Markov Models," Vol. 2, "Semi-Markov and Decision Processes," by R. Howard ,"  Journal of the American Statistical Association.
John Rolph, R. Strauch () "A Countable Policy Set for Sequential Decision Problems ,"  Annals of Mathematical Statistics  43.
John Rolph () "Bayesian Estimation of Mixing Distributions ,"  Annals of Mathematical Statistics  39, 1289-1302.