John Rolph

Professor Emeritus of Data Sciences and Operations

PhD, AB, UC-Berkeley

John Rolph applies statistical methods to public policy issues such as juror systems, medical malpractice, and criminal justice. His research has appeared in the Journal of the American Medical Association, Management Science, and the Journal of the American Statistical Association. Past editor of CHANCE, he is a fellow of the American Statistical Association, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and has chaired National Academy panels on the National Ballistics Database and National Statistics. Professor Rolph has consulted for General Electric, Kaiser Health Plans, and State Farm Insurance.

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Newhouse, J..,Brook, R..,Duan, N..,Keeler, E..,Leibowitz, A..,Manning, W..,Marquis, M..,Morris, C..,Phelps, C..,Rolph, John. () "Attrition in the RAND Health Insurance Experiment: A Response to Nyman", Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law, 33.
Cork, D..,Rolph, John.,Meiren, G..,Petrie, C.. () "Ballistics Imaging ", National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Discussion of "Data Analysis using Stein's Estimator and its generalizations"", Seventieth Birthday Festschrift for B. Efron, Springer-Verlag.
Norwood, J..,Carson, C..,Deese, M..,Johnson, N..,Reeder, F..,Rolph, John. () "Off-shoring: New challenges and Opportunities In an Expanding Global Economy ", National Academy of Public Administration.
Rolph, John.,Adams, J..,McGuigan, K.. () "Identifying Malpractice-prone Physicians", Journal of Empirical Legal Studies.
Norwood, J..,Carson, C.,Deese, M..,Johnson, N..,Reeder, F..,Rolph, John. () "Technical Supplement to Off-shoring: How Big Is It?—Assessing the Employment Effects of Services Off-Shoring Using Linked Micro-Data Janet Norwood", National Academy of Public Administration.
Norwood, J..,Carson, C.,Deese, M..,Johnson, N..,Reeder, F..,Rolph, John. () "Off-shoring: What are its Effects?, ", National Academy of Public Administration.
Norwood, J..,Carson, C.,Deese, M..,Johnson, N..,Reeder, F..,Rolph, John. () "Off-shoring: How Big Is It?", National Academy of Public Administration.
Norwood, J..,Carson, C.,Deese, M..,Johnson, N..,Reeder, F..,Rolph, John.,Schwab, S.. () "Off-shoring: An Elusive Phenomenon", National Academy of Public Administration.
Rolph, John. () "Analyzing Information on Women-Owned Small Businesses in Federal Contracting", National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Improved Operational Testing and Evaluation and Methods of Combining Test Information for the Stryker Family of Vehicles and Related Army Systems. Phase II Report", National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Measuring Racial Discrimination", National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Improved Operational Testing and Evaluation: Better Measurement and Test Design for the Interim Brigade Combat Team with Stryker Vehicles, Phase I Report", National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Innovations in Software Engineering for Defense Systems", National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Review of "Counting on the Census?" by Peter Skerry", Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Citro, C.F..,Rolph, John. () "Sound Numbers Make for Sound Government", Chattanooga Times/ Chattanooga Free Press.
Rolph, John. () "The American Community Survey: Summary of a Workshop", National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Principles and Practices for a Federal Statistical Agency: Second Edition", National Academy Press.
McGuigan, K..,Rolph, John. () "“Malpractice and the Impaired Physician: an Application of Matching", Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand, Springer-Verlag, 6.
Rolph, John.,McGuigan, K.. () "Are Impaired Physicians More Susceptible to Medical Malpractice Claims?", Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand, Springer-Verlag, 6.
Morton, S..,Rolph, John. () "Assessing the Statistical Evidence of Racial Bias in Capital Cases", Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand, Springer-Verlag, 5.
Thomas, N..,Rolph, John. () "Estimating Hospital Mortality Rates", Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand, Springer-Verlag, 8.
Rolph, John. () "Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand", Springer-Verlag.
M.,Rolph, John.,D.. () "Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition: Background Papers", National Academy Press.
Guthrie, J..,Morrill, W..,Rolph, John. () "Mid-Term Evaluation of the Education Statistical Services Institute", Mid-Term Evaluation of the Education Statistical Services Institute.
M.,Rolph, John.,D.. () "Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition: New Approaches and Methodological Improvements", National Academy Press.
Kravitz, R..,Rolph, John.,Petersen, L.. () "Assessing Defensive Medicine from Malpractice Claims", Medical Care Research and Review.
Glassman, P..,Kravitz, R..,Rolph, John.,Petersen, L.. () "Differences in Clinical Decision Making between Internists and Cardiologists", Archives of Internal Medicine, 157, 506-512.
Rolph, E..,Moller, E..,Rolph, John. () "Arbitration Agreements in Health Care: Myths and Reality", Law and Contemporary Problems, 1, 153-184.
Rolph, John. () "Why Did Casino Blackjack Winnings Drop?", Statistics, Probability and Game Theory, 30.
Glassman, P..,Kravitz, R..,Rolph, John.,Petersen, L.. () "Physicians' Personal Malpractice Experiences are not Related to Defensive Clinical Practices", Journal of Health, Politics, and Law, 21.
M.,Rolph, John.,D.. () "Interim Report: Panel on Statistical Methods for Testing and Evaluating Defense Systems", National Academy Press.
Belin, T..,Rolph, John. () "Can We Reach Consensus on Census Adjustment", Statistical Science.
Thomas, N..,Longford, N..,Rolph, John. () "Empirical Bayes Methods for Estimating Hospital Specific Mortality Rates", Statistics in Medicine.
Rolph, John.,D.. () "Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop", Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop, National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Review of "Statistics: Data Through Decisions (Video)"", CHANCE .
Rolph, John. () "The Census Adjustment Trial: Reflections of a Witness for the Plaintiffs", Jurimetrics, 34, 85-98.
Rolph, John.,Pekelney, D..,McGuigan, K.. () "Amending the National Data Bank Reporting Requirements: Are Small Claims Predictive of Large Claims?", Inquiry, 441-446.
Rolph, John. () "Discussion of: Bayes Analysis of Model-Based Methods for Non-ignorable Nonresponse in the Harvard Medical Practice Survey", Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics, Springer-Verlag.
Rolph, John. () "Assessing Evaluation Studies: The Case of Bilingual Education Strategies", National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Review of "On Combining Information: Statistical Issues and Opportunities for Research"", CHANCE .
Kravitz, R..,Rolph, John.,Rolph, J..,McGuigan, K.. () "Malpractice Claims Data As A Quality Improvement Tool: I. Epidemiology of Error in 4 Specialties", JAMA, 2087-2097.
Rolph, John.,Kravitz, R..,McGuigan, K.. () "Malpractice Claims Data As a Quality Improvement Tool: II. Is Targeting Effective?", JAMA, 2087-2092.
Rolph, John. () "Merit Rating for Physicians' Malpractice Premiums: Only a Modest Deterrent", Law and Contemporary Problems, 65-86.
Klein, S..,Rolph, John. () "Relationship of Offender and Victim Race to Death Penalty Sentence in California", Jurimetrics.
Buchanan, J..,Keeler, E..,Rolph, John.,Holmer, M.. () "Simulating Health Expenditures under Alternative Insurance Plans", Management Science.
Rolph, John. () "Casino Winnings at Blackjack", Proceedings of the Business and Economics Statistics Section, American Statistical Association.
Keeler, E.B..,Rolph, John. () "The Demand for Episodes of Treatment in the Health Insurance Experiment", Journal of Health Economics.
Rolph, John. () "Discussion of Papers by Hogan et al. and Clogg et al.", Proceedings of Second Annual Census Research Conference.
S. J..,Rolph, John. () "Empirical Bayes Estimation of the Mean in a Multivariate Normal Distribution", Communications in Statistics.
Pincus, J..,Rolph, John. () "How Much is Enough: Applying Regression to a School Finance Case", Statistics in the Law, Wiley.
Hammitt, J..,Rolph, John. () "Limiting Liability for Automobile Accidents: Are No-Fault Tort Thresholds Effective?", Law and Policy, 493-507.
Rolph, John.,Hammitt, J..,Houchens, R.. () "Automobile Accident Compensation: Who Pays How Much How Soon?", Journal of Risk and Insurance, 667-685.
Rolph, John. () "Comment on Estimating the Population in the Census 1980 and Beyond by E. Ericksen and J. Kadane", Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Rolph, John. () "The Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 1990", The Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 1990, National Academy Press.
Rolph, John. () "Planning the 1990 Census: Priorities for Research and Testing", The Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 1990, National Academy Press.
Bannister, R..,Moreno, M..,Rolph, John. () "Restructuring the Jury Allocation Process for the Los Angeles County Jury Management Systems", Proceedings of the Urban and Regional Information Systems Association.
Keeler, E..,Rolph, John. () "How Cost Sharing Reduced Medical Spending of the Participants in the Health Insurance Experiment", Journal of the American Medical Association.
Rolph, John. () "Some Statistical Evidence on Merit Rating in Medical Malpractice Insurance", Journal of Risk and Insurance.
Morris, C..,Rolph, John. () "Introduction to Data Analysis and Statistical Inference", Prentice Hall.
Rolph, John. () "Statistical Notes", Californa Wine List Cabernets, Cheshire Booksellers, Ltd..
Chaiken, J..,Rolph, John. () "Selective Incapacitation Strategies Based on Estimated Crime Rates", Operations Research.
Newhouse, J..,Rolph, John.,Mori, B..,Murphy, M.. () "An Estimate of the Impact of Deductibles on the Demand for Medical Care Services", Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Carter, G..,Rolph, John. () "Analyzing the Demand for Fire Department Services", Fire Department Deployment Analysis.
Rolph, John.,Williams, A..,Lee, C.. () "Medical School Admission and Applicants Residence: Empirical Bayes Estimates of Logit Coefficients", Journal of Educational Statistics.
Brook, R..,Williams, K..,Rolph, John. () "The New Mexico Experimental Medical Care Review Organization--A Four Year Case Study", Medical Care.
Brook, R..,Williams, K..,Rolph, John. () "Use, Costs, and Quality of Medical Services", Annals of Internal Medicine.
Rolph, John.,Williams, A..,Lee, C.. () "The Effect of State of Residence on Medical School Admissions: Empirical Bayes and Least-Squares Discriminant Estimators", Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, 89-98.
Keeler, E..,Relles, D..,Rolph, John. () "An Empirical Study of the Differences Between Family and Individual Deductibles in Health Insurance", Financing of Health Care.
Keeler, E..,Relles, D..,Rolph, John. () "The Choice Between Family and Individual Deductible Policies in Health Insurance", Journal of Economic Theory.
Rolph, John. () "Review of "Management Science Applications to Leisure-Time Operations," S. P. Ladany, ed", Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Rolph, John. () "Choosing Shrinkage Estimators for Regression Problems", Communications in Statistics.
Rolph, John.,Carter, G.. () "Empirical Bayes Methods Applied to Estimating Fire Alarm Probabilities", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 69, 880-885.
Rolph, John.,Fox, B.. () "Adaptive Policies for Markov Renewal Programs ", Annals of Statistics, 1.
Rolph, John.,Carroll, S.. () "A Stochastic Model of Discrimination in the Labor Market", Econometrica, 41, 97-108.
Rolph, John. () "Review of ""Dynamic Probabilistic Systems," Vol. 1, "Markov Models," Vol. 2, "Semi-Markov and Decision Processes," by R. Howard", Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Rolph, John.,Strauch, R.. () "A Countable Policy Set for Sequential Decision Problems", Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 43.
Rolph, John. () "Bayesian Estimation of Mixing Distributions", Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 39, 1289-1302.