University of Southern California

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John Rolph
Professor of Information and Operations Management

USC Marshall School of Business
Los Angeles, CA 90089-0808

Phone: 
213-740-4829
jrolph@marshall.usc.edu
Education: 
PhD, AB, UC-Berkeley

Overview

John Rolph applies statistical methods to public policy issues such as juror systems, medical malpractice, and criminal justice. His research has appeared in the Journal of the American Medical Association, Management Science, and the Journal of the American Statistical Association. Past editor of CHANCE, he is a fellow of the American Statistical Association, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and has chaired National Academy panels on the National Ballistics Database and National Statistics. Professor Rolph has consulted for General Electric, Kaiser Health Plans, and State Farm Insurance.

Research

Attrition in the RAND Health Insurance Experiment: A Response to Nyman • 2008
Ballistics Imaging • 2008
Discussion of "Data Analysis using Stein's Estimator and its generalizations" • 2008
Off-shoring: New challenges and Opportunities In an Expanding Global Economy • 2007
Identifying Malpractice-prone Physicians • 2007
Technical Supplement to Off-shoring: How Big Is It??Assessing the Employment Effects of Services Off-Shoring Using Linked Micro-Data Janet Norwood • 2007
Off-shoring: What are its Effects?, • 2007
Off-shoring: How Big Is It? • 2006
Off-shoring: An Elusive Phenomenon • 2006
Analyzing Information on Women-Owned Small Businesses in Federal Contracting • 2005
Improved Operational Testing and Evaluation and Methods of Combining Test Information for the Stryker Family of Vehicles and Related Army Systems. Phase II Report • 2004
Measuring Racial Discrimination • 2004
Improved Operational Testing and Evaluation: Better Measurement and Test Design for the Interim Brigade Combat Team with Stryker Vehicles, Phase I Report • 2003
Innovations in Software Engineering for Defense Systems • 2003
Review of "Counting on the Census?" by Peter Skerry • 2001
Sound Numbers Make for Sound Government • 2001
The American Community Survey: Summary of a Workshop • 2001
Principles and Practices for a Federal Statistical Agency: Second Edition • 2000
Are Impaired Physicians More Susceptible to Medical Malpractice Claims? • 2000
Assessing the Statistical Evidence of Racial Bias in Capital Cases • 2000
Estimating Hospital Mortality Rates • 2000
Public Policy and Statistics: Case Studies from Rand • 2000
?Malpractice and the Impaired Physician: an Application of Matching • 2000
Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition: Background Papers • 1999
Mid-Term Evaluation of the Education Statistical Services Institute • 1998
Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition: New Approaches and Methodological Improvements • 1998
Assessing Defensive Medicine from Malpractice Claims • 1997
Differences in Clinical Decision Making between Internists and Cardiologists • 1997
Arbitration Agreements in Health Care: Myths and Reality • 1997
Physicians' Personal Malpractice Experiences are not Related to Defensive Clinical Practices • 1996
Why Did Casino Blackjack Winnings Drop? • 1996
Interim Report: Panel on Statistical Methods for Testing and Evaluating Defense Systems • 1995
Can We Reach Consensus on Census Adjustment • 1994
Empirical Bayes Methods for Estimating Hospital Specific Mortality Rates • 1994
Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing: Summary of a Workshop • 1994
Review of "Statistics: Data Through Decisions (Video)" • 1994
The Census Adjustment Trial: Reflections of a Witness for the Plaintiffs • 1993
Discussion of: Bayes Analysis of Model-Based Methods for Non-ignorable Nonresponse in the Harvard Medical Practice Survey • 1993
Amending the National Data Bank Reporting Requirements: Are Small Claims Predictive of Large Claims? • 1993
Assessing Evaluation Studies: The Case of Bilingual Education Strategies • 1992
Review of "On Combining Information: Statistical Issues and Opportunities for Research" • 1992
Malpractice Claims Data As A Quality Improvement Tool: I. Epidemiology of Error in 4 Specialties • 1991
Malpractice Claims Data As a Quality Improvement Tool: II. Is Targeting Effective? • 1991
Merit Rating for Physicians' Malpractice Premiums: Only a Modest Deterrent • 1991
Relationship of Offender and Victim Race to Death Penalty Sentence in California • 1991
Simulating Health Expenditures under Alternative Insurance Plans • 1991
Casino Winnings at Blackjack • 1990
The Demand for Episodes of Treatment in the Health Insurance Experiment • 1989
Discussion of Papers by Hogan et al. and Clogg et al. • 1986
Empirical Bayes Estimation of the Mean in a Multivariate Normal Distribution • 1986
How Much is Enough: Applying Regression to a School Finance Case • 1986
Limiting Liability for Automobile Accidents: Are No-Fault Tort Thresholds Effective? • 1986
Automobile Accident Compensation: Who Pays How Much How Soon? • 1985
Comment on Estimating the Population in the Census 1980 and Beyond by E. Ericksen and J. Kadane • 1985
The Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 1990 • 1985
Planning the 1990 Census: Priorities for Research and Testing • 1984
Restructuring the Jury Allocation Process for the Los Angeles County Jury Management Systems • 1984
How Cost Sharing Reduced Medical Spending of the Participants in the Health Insurance Experiment • 1983
Some Statistical Evidence on Merit Rating in Medical Malpractice Insurance • 1981
Introduction to Data Analysis and Statistical Inference • 1981
Statistical Notes • 1981
Selective Incapacitation Strategies Based on Estimated Crime Rates • 1980
An Estimate of the Impact of Deductibles on the Demand for Medical Care Services • 1980
Analyzing the Demand for Fire Department Services • 1979
Medical School Admission and Applicants Residence: Empirical Bayes Estimates of Logit Coefficients • 1979
The New Mexico Experimental Medical Care Review Organization--A Four Year Case Study • 1978
Use, Costs, and Quality of Medical Services • 1978
The Effect of State of Residence on Medical School Admissions: Empirical Bayes and Least-Squares Discriminant Estimators • 1978
An Empirical Study of the Differences Between Family and Individual Deductibles in Health Insurance • 1977
The Choice Between Family and Individual Deductible Policies in Health Insurance • 1977
Review of "Management Science Applications to Leisure-Time Operations," S. P. Ladany, ed • 1976
Choosing Shrinkage Estimators for Regression Problems • 1976
Empirical Bayes Methods Applied to Estimating Fire Alarm Probabilities • 1974
Adaptive Policies for Markov Renewal Programs • 1973
A Stochastic Model of Discrimination in the Labor Market • 1973
Review of ""Dynamic Probabilistic Systems," Vol. 1, "Markov Models," Vol. 2, "Semi-Markov and Decision Processes," by R. Howard • 1972
A Countable Policy Set for Sequential Decision Problems • 1972
Bayesian Estimation of Mixing Distributions • 1968